The ERID Working Paper Series is the active working paper series for Duke Economics. In the general research area of our website, find archives of older papers.
| "Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives: Supplementary Appendix" | Attila Ambrus Laszlo Sabor Hye Young You | ERID-122 |
| "Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives" | Attila Ambrus Laszlo Sabor Hye Young You | ERID-121 |
| "Regime Switches, Agents’ Beliefs, and Post-World War Ii U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics" | Francesco Bianchi | ERID-120 |
| "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs" | Francesco Bianchi Cosmin Ilut | ERID-119 |
| "Bayesian Estimation of a Dynamic Game with Endogenous, Partially Observed, Serially Correlated State" | A. Ronald Gallant Han Hong Ahmed Khwaja | ERID-118 |
| "(Un)Informed Charitable Giving" | Silvana Krasteva Huseyin Yildirim | ERID-117 |
| Appendix for "Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Transaction Costs" | Attila Ambrus Eric Chaney Igor Salitskiy | ERID-116 |
| "Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Transaction Costs" | Attila Ambrus Eric Chaney Igor Salitskiy | ERID-115 |
| "Volatility Activity: Specification and Estimation" | Viktor Todorov George Tauchen Iaryna Grynkiv | ERID-114 |
| "Levy Process Models for High Frequency Financial Data" | George Tauchen | ERID-113 |
| "Inverse Realized Laplace Transforms for Nonparametric Volatility Estimation in Jump-Diffusions" | Viktor Todorov | ERID-112 |
| "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability" | Barbara Rossi | ERID-111 |
| "Information Structure and Statistical Information in Discrete Response Models" | Shakeeb Khan Denis Nekipelov | ERID-110 |
| "Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities" | Barbara Rossi Tatevik Sekhposyan | ERID-109 |
| "Payoff Uncertainty, Bargaining Power, and the Strategic Sequencing of Bilateral Negotiations" | Silvana Krasteva | ERID-108 |
| "A Dynamic Model of Demand for Houses and Neighborhoods" | Patrick Bayer | ERID-107 |
| "Causal Effects of Health Shocks on Consumption and Debt: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Bus Accident Injuries" | Manoj Mohanan | ERID-106 |
| "Time Inconsistency, Expectations and Technology Adoption: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets" | Alessandro Tarozzi | ERID-105 |
| "Micro-Loans, Insecticide-Treated Bednets and Malaria: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Orissa (India)" | Alessandro Tarozzi | ERID-104 |
| "Growth on a Finite Planet: Resources, Technology and Population in the Long Run" | Pietro Peretto | ERID-103 |
| "Another Look at the Identification of Infinity of Sample Selection Models" | Arnaud Maurel |
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| "Inference on an Extended Roy Model, with an Application to Schooling Decisions in France" | Arnaud Maurel | ERID-101 |
| "Separate When Equal? Racial Inequality and Residential Segregation" | Patrick Bayer | ERID-100 |
| "A Theory of Charitable Fund-Raising with Costly Solicitations" | Alvaro Name Correa | ERID-99 |
| "Identification of Panel Data Models with Endogenous Censoring" | Shakeeb Khan | ERID-98 |
| "The First Globalization Debate" | Craufurd D. Goodwin | ERID-97 |
| "Evidence for Dynamic Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending" | Peter Benczur | ERID-96 |
| "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?" | Domenico Ferraro | ERID-95 |
| "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice" | Barbara Rossi | ERID-94 |
"Speculators and Middlemen: The Role of Flippers in the Housing Market" | Patrick J. Bayer | ERID-93 |
| "Economic Modernization in Late British India: Hindu-Muslim Differences" | Timur Kuran | ERID-92 |
| "What is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining US Macroeconomic Fluctuations?" | Barbara Rossi | ERID-91 |
| "Testing for Weak Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models" | Barbara Rossi | ERID-90 |
| "Causal Structure and Hierarchies of Model" | Kevin D. Hoover | ERID-89 |
| "Pragmatism, Perspectival Realism, and Econometrics" | Kevin D. Hoover | ERID-88 |
| "Computational Methods for Production-Based Asset Pricing Models with Recursive Utility" | Eric M. Aldrich | ERID-87 |
| "Tapping the Supercomputer Under Your Desk: Solving Dynamic Equilibrium Models with Graphic Processors" | Eric M. Aldrich | ERID-86 |
| "Biodiversity Conservation and Child Malaria: Microeconomic Evidence from Flores, Indonesia" | Randall Kramer | ERID-85 |
| "Ashamed to Be Selfish" | Philipp Sadowski | ERID-84 |
| "Contingent Preference for Flexibility: Eliciting Beliefs from Behavior" | Philipp Sadowski | ERID-83 |
| "Overeagerness" | Philipp Sadowski | ERID-82 |
| "Robust Firm Pricing with Panel Data" | Kanishka Misra | ERID-81 |
| "Unobserved Heterogeneity and Reserve Prices in Auctions" | James W. Roberts | ERID-80 |
| "Online Privacy and Price Discrimination" | Vincent Conitzer | ERID-79 |
| "Bednets, Information and Malaria in Orissa" | Aprajit Mahajan | ERID-78 |
| "Bright Lines, Risk Beliefs, and Risk Avoidance: Evidence from a Randomized Intervention in Bangladesh" | Lori Bennear | ERID-77 |
| "Time-Consistent Majority Rules and Heterogenous Preferences in Group Decision-Making" | Huseyin Yildirim | ERID-76 |
| "Realized Laplace Transforms for Estimation of Jump Diffusive Volatility Models" | Viktor Todorov | ERID-75 |
| "Limit Theorems for Power Variations of Pure-Jump Processes with Application to Activity Estimation" | Viktor Todorov | ERID-74 |
| "Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies" | Tim Bollerslev | ERID-73 |
| "The Realized Laplace Transform of Volatility" | George Tauchen | ERID-72 |
| "Pricing of the Time-Change Risks" | George Tauchen | ERID-71 |
| "Stairway to Heaven or Highway to Hell: Liquidity, Sweat Equity, and the Uncertain Path to Ownership" | Curtis R. Taylor | ERID-70 |
| "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms" | Lawrence Christiano | ERID-69 |
| "Intertemporal Preference for Flexibility" | Philipp Sadowski | ERID-66 |
| "An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice" | Eduardo Fajnzylber | ERID-65 |
| "Factor-Eliminating Technical Change" | Pietro F. Peretto | ERID-64 |
| "Credit Quantity and Credit Quality: Bank Competition and Capital Accumulation" | Nicola Cetorelli | ERID-63 |
| "Carbon Allowance Auction Design: An Assessment of Options for the U.S." | David McAdams | ERID-62 |
| "Nonparametric Identification of First-Price Auctions With Non-Separable Unobserved Heterogeneity" | David McAdams | ERID-61 |
| "Discounts for Qualified Buyers Only" | David McAdams | ERID-60 |
| "Performance and Turnover in a Stochastic Partnership" | David McAdams | ERID-59 |
| "Habit, Long-Run Risks, Prospect? A Statistical Inquiry" | Eric Aldrich | ERID-58 |
| "Dynamic Entry with Cross Product Spillovers: An Application to the Generic Drug Industry" | A. Ronald Gallant | ERID-57 |
| "Sign Switching Behavior of Cross-County Interest Rate Correlations: Theory and Evidence" | Dong-Hyun Ahn | ERID-56 |
| "Jury Discrimination in Criminal Trials" | Patrick Bayer | ERID-55 |
| "Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance" | Barbara Rossi | ERID-54 |
| "Economic Modernization in Late British India: Hindu-Muslim Differences" | Timur Kuran | ERID-53 |
| "Judicial Biases in the Ottoman Empire: The Roles of Inter-Court Competition and Personal Exchange" | Timur Kuran | ERID-52 |
“Identifying Individual and Group Effects in the Presence of Sorting: A Neighborhood Effects Application” | Patrick Bayer | |
“Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models in Continuous Time” | Peter Arcidiacono | |
“Tiebout Sorting and Neighborhood Stratification” | Patrick Bayer | |
“Choice and Competition in Education Markets” | Patrick Bayer | |
“Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Premium Puzzle” | Craig Burnside | |
“Empirical Asset Pricing and Statistical Power in the Presence of Weak Risk Factors” | Craig Burnside | |
“Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?” | Craig Burnside | |
“The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk: A Comment” | Craig Burnside | |
“Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates” | Craig Burnside | |
“Specification Test for Missing Functional Data” | Federico Bugni | |
“Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns” | Francesco Bianchi | |
“Regime Switches, Agents' Beliefs, and Post-World War II U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics” | Francesco Bianchi | |
“Dynamics of the Term Structure of UK Interest Rates” | Francesco Bianchi | |
“Estimation of Jump Trails” | Tim Bollerslev | |
“Quality, Upgrades, and Equilibrium in a Dynamic Monopoly Model” | James Anton | |
“Inventory in Vertical Relationships with Private Information and Interdependent Values” | James Anton | |
“Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies” | Tim Bollerslev | |
“Tails, Fears and Risk Premia” | Tim Bollerslev | |
“Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle” | Cosmin Ilut | |
“Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability” | Peter Arcidiacono | |
"Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals" | Joe Hotz | |
"Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments" | Barbara Rossi | |
"Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models" | Barbara Rossi | |
"The Welfare Impacts of Price Stabilization: Evidence from Rural Ethiopian Households" | Marc F. Bellemare | |
"Does Affirmative Action Lead to Mismatch? A New Test and Evidence" | Peter Arcidiacono | |
"Dynamic Inefficiencies in an Employment-Based Health Insurance System: Theory and Evidence" | Hanming Fang | |
"Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles" | Pau Rabana | |
"The Impact of Piped Water Provision on Infant Mortality in Brazil: A Quantile Panel Data Approach" | Shanti Gamper-Rabindran | |
"John Maynard Keynes of Bloomsbury: Four Short Talks" | Craufurd Goodwin | |
"Agglomeration Effects in Foreign Direct Investment and the Pollution Haven Hypothesis" | Christopher Timmins | |
"Tilting at Imaginary Windmills: A Comment on Tyfield" | E. Roy Weintraub | |
"Expanding 'Choice' in School Choice" | Atila Abdulkadiroglu | |
"Empirical Identification of the Vector Autoregression: The Causes and Effects of U.S. M2" | Kevin D. Hoover | |
"Agricultural Extension and Imperfect Supervision in Contract Farming: Evidence from Madagascar" | Marc F. Bellemare | |
"Factor-Eliminating Technical Change" | Pietro F. Peretto | |
"The Employment (and Output) of Nations: Theory and Policy Implications" | Pietro F. Peretto | |
"A Schumpeterian Analysis of Deficit-Financed Dividend Tax Cuts" | Pietro F. Peretto | |
"Is the 'Curse of Natural Resources' Really a Curse?" | Pietro F. Peretto | |
"Distribution of Surplus in Sequential Bargaining with Endogenous Recognition" | Huseyin Yildirim | |
"Has Models' Forecasting Performance for U.S. Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?" | Barbara Rossi | |
"Explaining the Economic Trajectories of Civilizations: The Systemic Approach" | Timur Kuran | |
"The Scale of Entrepreneurship in Middle Eastern History: Inhibitive Roles of Islamic Institutions" | Timur Kuran | |
"Quality, Upgrades, and (the Loss of) Market Power in a Dynamic Monopoly Model" | James J. Anton | |
"Ranking Mutual Fund Families: Minimum Expenses and Maximum Loads as Markers for Moral Turpitude" | Edward Tower | |
"Realized Jumps on Financial Markets and Predicting Credit Spreads" | George Tauchen | |
"A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects" | Tim Bollerslev | |
"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia" | Tim Bollerslev | |
"Pricing Implications of Stochastic Volatility, Business Cycle Time Change, and Non-Gaussianity" | Ivan Shaliastovich | |
"Volatility Jumps" | George Tauchen | |
"Activity Signature Functions for High-Frequency Data Analysis" | George Tauchen | |
"Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? | Yu-chin Chen |