Economic Research Initiatives @ Duke (ERID) Working Paper Series

The ERID Working Paper Series is the active working paper series for Duke Economics. In the general research area of our website, find archives of older papers.

"Price Discrimination in the Housing Market" Patrick Bayer
Marcus Casey
Fernando Ferreira
Robert McMillan
ERID-127
"The Dynamic Effects of Educational Accountability" Hugh Macartney ERID-126
"A Fair and Impartial Jury? The Role of Age in Jury Selection and Trial Outcomes"

Shamena Anwar
Patrick Bayer
Randi Hjalmarsson

ERID-125
"Approximating High-Dimensional Dynamic Models: Sieve Value Function Iteration" Peter Arcidiacono
Patrick Bayer
Federico Bugni
Jon James
ERID-124
"Ambiguous Business Cycles" Cosmin Ilut
Martin Schneider
ERID-123
"Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives: Supplementary Appendix" Attila Ambrus
Laszlo Sabor
Hye Young You
ERID-122
"Testing an Informational Theory of Legislation: Evidence from the U.S. House of Representatives" Attila Ambrus
Laszlo Sabor
Hye Young You
ERID-121
"Regime Switches, Agents’ Beliefs, and Post-World War Ii U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics" Francesco Bianchi ERID-120
"Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs" Francesco Bianchi
Cosmin Ilut
ERID-119
"Bayesian Estimation of a Dynamic Game with Endogenous, Partially Observed, Serially Correlated State" A. Ronald Gallant
Han Hong
Ahmed Khwaja
ERID-118
"(Un)Informed Charitable Giving" Silvana Krasteva
Huseyin Yildirim
ERID-117
Appendix for "Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Transaction Costs" Attila Ambrus
Eric Chaney
Igor Salitskiy
ERID-116
"Pirates of the Mediterranean: An Empirical Investigation of Bargaining with Transaction Costs" Attila Ambrus
Eric Chaney
Igor Salitskiy
ERID-115
"Volatility Activity: Specification and Estimation" Viktor Todorov
George Tauchen
Iaryna Grynkiv
ERID-114
"Levy Process Models for High Frequency Financial Data"

George Tauchen

ERID-113
"Inverse Realized Laplace Transforms for Nonparametric Volatility Estimation in Jump-Diffusions"

Viktor Todorov
George Tauchen

ERID-112
"Advances in Forecasting Under Instability" Barbara Rossi ERID-111
"Information Structure and Statistical Information in Discrete Response Models" Shakeeb Khan
Denis Nekipelov
ERID-110
"Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities" Barbara Rossi
Tatevik Sekhposyan
ERID-109
"Payoff Uncertainty, Bargaining Power, and the Strategic Sequencing of Bilateral Negotiations"

Silvana Krasteva
Huseyin Yildirim

ERID-108
"A Dynamic Model of Demand for Houses and Neighborhoods"

Patrick Bayer
Robert McMillan
Alvin Murphy
Chris Timmins

ERID-107
"Causal Effects of Health Shocks on Consumption and Debt: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Bus Accident Injuries" Manoj Mohanan ERID-106
"Time Inconsistency, Expectations and Technology Adoption: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets"

Alessandro Tarozzi
Aprajit Mahajan

ERID-105
"Micro-Loans, Insecticide-Treated Bednets and Malaria: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Orissa (India)"

Alessandro Tarozzi
Aprajit Mahajan
Brian Blackburn
Daniel Kopf
Lakshmi Krishnan
Joanne Yoong

ERID-104
"Growth on a Finite Planet: Resources, Technology and Population in the Long Run"

Pietro Peretto
Simone Valente

ERID-103
"Another Look at the Identification of Infinity of Sample Selection Models"

Arnaud Maurel
Xavier D'Haultfoeuille


ERID-102

"Inference on an Extended Roy Model, with an Application to Schooling Decisions in France"

Arnaud Maurel
Xavier D'Haultfoeuille

ERID-101
"Separate When Equal? Racial Inequality and Residential Segregation"

Patrick Bayer
Hanming Fang
Robert McMillan

ERID-100
"A Theory of Charitable Fund-Raising with Costly Solicitations"

Alvaro Name Correa
Huseyin Yildirim

ERID-99
"Identification of Panel Data Models with Endogenous Censoring"

Shakeeb Khan
Maria Ponomareva
Elie Tamer

ERID-98
"The First Globalization Debate" Craufurd D. Goodwin ERID-97
"Evidence for Dynamic Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending"

Peter Benczur
Cosmin Ilut

ERID-96
"Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?"

Domenico Ferraro
Ken Rogoff
Barbara Rossi

ERID-95
"Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to Window Size Choice"

Barbara Rossi
Atsushi Inoue

ERID-94

"Speculators and Middlemen: The Role of Flippers in the Housing Market"

Patrick J. Bayer
Christopher Geissler
James W. Roberts

ERID-93
"Economic Modernization in Late British India: Hindu-Muslim Differences"

Timur Kuran
Anantdeep Singh

ERID-92
"What is the Importance of Monetary and Fiscal Shocks in Explaining US Macroeconomic Fluctuations?"

Barbara Rossi
Sarah Zubairy

ERID-91
"Testing for Weak Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models"

Barbara Rossi
Atsushi Inoue

ERID-90
"Causal Structure and Hierarchies of Model" Kevin D. Hoover ERID-89
"Pragmatism, Perspectival Realism, and Econometrics" Kevin D. Hoover ERID-88
"Computational Methods for Production-Based Asset Pricing Models with Recursive Utility"

Eric M. Aldrich
Howard Kung

ERID-87
"Tapping the Supercomputer Under Your Desk: Solving Dynamic Equilibrium Models with Graphic Processors"

Eric M. Aldrich
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
A. Ronald Gallant
Juan Francisco Rubio-Ramirez

ERID-86
"Biodiversity Conservation and Child Malaria: Microeconomic Evidence from Flores, Indonesia"

Randall Kramer
Subhrendu Pattanayak
Catherin Corey
Yewah Lau

ERID-85
"Ashamed to Be Selfish"

Philipp Sadowski
David Dillenberger

ERID-84
"Contingent Preference for Flexibility: Eliciting Beliefs from Behavior" Philipp Sadowski ERID-83
"Overeagerness" Philipp Sadowski ERID-82
"Robust Firm Pricing with Panel Data"

Kanishka Misra
James W. Roberts
Benjamin R. Handel

ERID-81
"Unobserved Heterogeneity and Reserve Prices in Auctions" James W. Roberts ERID-80
"Online Privacy and Price Discrimination"

Vincent Conitzer
Curtis Taylor
Liad Wagman

ERID-79
"Bednets, Information and Malaria in Orissa"

Aprajit Mahajan
Alessandro Tarozzi
Joanne Yoong
Brian Blackburn

ERID-78
"Bright Lines, Risk Beliefs, and Risk Avoidance: Evidence from a Randomized Intervention in Bangladesh"

Lori Bennear
Alessandro Tarozzi
Alexander Pfaff
H.B. Soumya
Kazi Mati Ahmed
Alexander van Geen

ERID-77
"Time-Consistent Majority Rules and Heterogenous Preferences in Group Decision-Making" Huseyin Yildirim ERID-76
"Realized Laplace Transforms for Estimation of Jump Diffusive Volatility Models"

Viktor Todorov
George Tauchen
Iaryna Grynkiv

ERID-75
"Limit Theorems for Power Variations of Pure-Jump Processes with Application to Activity Estimation"

Viktor Todorov
George Tauchen

ERID-74
"Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies"

Tim Bollerslev
George Tauchen
Natalia Sizova

ERID-73
"The Realized Laplace Transform of Volatility"

George Tauchen
Viktor Todorov

ERID-72
"Pricing of the Time-Change Risks"

George Tauchen
Ivan Shaliastovich

ERID-71
"Stairway to Heaven or Highway to Hell: Liquidity, Sweat Equity, and the Uncertain Path to Ownership"

Curtis R. Taylor
Giuseppe Lopomo
Vijay Krishna

ERID-70
"Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms"

Lawrence Christiano
Cosmin Ilut
Robert Motto
Massimo Rostagno

ERID-69
"Intertemporal Preference for Flexibility"

Philipp Sadowski
Vijay Krishna

ERID-66
"An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice"

Eduardo Fajnzylber
Seth G. Sanders
V. Joseph Hotz

ERID-65
"Factor-Eliminating Technical Change"

Pietro F. Peretto
John J. Seater

ERID-64
"Credit Quantity and Credit Quality: Bank Competition and Capital Accumulation"

Nicola Cetorelli
Pietro F. Peretto

ERID-63
"Carbon Allowance Auction Design: An Assessment of Options for the U.S."

David McAdams
Guiseppe Lopomo
Leslie M. Marx
Brian C. Murray

ERID-62
"Nonparametric Identification of First-Price Auctions With
Non-Separable Unobserved Heterogeneity"

David McAdams
Yingyao Hu
Matthew Shum

ERID-61
"Discounts for Qualified Buyers Only" David McAdams ERID-60
"Performance and Turnover in a Stochastic Partnership" David McAdams ERID-59
"Habit, Long-Run Risks, Prospect? A Statistical Inquiry"

Eric Aldrich
A. Ronald Gallant

ERID-58
"Dynamic Entry with Cross Product Spillovers: An Application to the Generic Drug Industry"

A. Ronald Gallant
Han Hong
Ahmed Khwaja

ERID-57
"Sign Switching Behavior of Cross-County Interest Rate Correlations: Theory and Evidence"

Dong-Hyun Ahn
In Seok Baek
A. Ronald Gallant

ERID-56
"Jury Discrimination in Criminal Trials"

Patrick Bayer
Randi Hjalmarsson
Shamena Anwar

ERID-55
"Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance"

Barbara Rossi
Tatevik Sekhposyan

ERID-54
"Economic Modernization in Late British India: Hindu-Muslim Differences"

Timur Kuran
Anantdeep Singh

ERID-53
"Judicial Biases in the Ottoman Empire: The Roles of Inter-Court Competition and Personal Exchange"

Timur Kuran
Scott Lustig

ERID-52

Identifying Individual and Group Effects in the Presence of Sorting: A Neighborhood Effects Application

Patrick Bayer
Stephen Ross

ERID-51

Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models in Continuous Time

Peter Arcidiacono
Patrick Bayer
Jason Blevins
Paul Ellickson

ERID-50

Tiebout Sorting and Neighborhood Stratification

Patrick Bayer
Robert McMillan

ERID-49

Choice and Competition in Education Markets

Patrick Bayer
Robert McMillan

ERID-48

Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Premium Puzzle

Craig Burnside
Bing Han
David Hirshleifer
Tracy Yue Wang

ERID-47

Empirical Asset Pricing and Statistical Power in the Presence of Weak Risk Factors

Craig Burnside

ERID-46

Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?

Craig Burnside
Martin Eichenbaum
Isaac Kleshchelski
Sergio Rebelo

ERID-45

The Cross-Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk: A Comment

Craig Burnside

ERID-44

Risk, Volatility, and the Global Cross-Section of Growth Rates

Craig Burnside
Alexandra Tabova

ERID-43

Specification Test for Missing Functional Data

Federico Bugni

ERID-42

Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns

Francesco Bianchi

ERID-41

Regime Switches, Agents' Beliefs, and Post-World War II U.S. Macroeconomic Dynamics

Francesco Bianchi

ERID-40

Dynamics of the Term Structure of UK Interest Rates

Francesco Bianchi
Haroon Mumtaz
Paolo Surico

ERID-39

“Estimation of Jump Trails”

Tim Bollerslev
Viktor Todorov

ERID-38

Quality, Upgrades, and Equilibrium in a Dynamic Monopoly Model

James Anton
Gary Biglaiser

ERID-37

Inventory in Vertical Relationships with Private Information and Interdependent Values

James Anton
Gary Biglaiser
Tracy Lewis

ERID-36

Volatility in Equilibrium: Asymmetries and Dynamic Dependencies

Tim Bollerslev
Natalia Sizova
George Tauchen

ERID-35

Tails, Fears and Risk Premia

Tim Bollerslev
Viktor Todorov

ERID-34

“Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle”

Cosmin Ilut

ERID-33

“Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability”

Peter Arcidiacono
Patrick Bayer
Aurel Hizmo

ERID-32

"Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals"

Joe Hotz
Peter Arcidiacono
Songman Kang

ERID-31

"Model Comparisons in Unstable Environments"

Barbara Rossi
Raffaella Giacomini

ERID-30

"Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models"

Barbara Rossi
Alastair Hall
Atsushi Inoue
James M. Nason 

ERID-29

"The Welfare Impacts of Price Stabilization: Evidence from Rural Ethiopian Households"

Marc F. Bellemare
Christopher B. Barrett
Zachary S. Brown
David R. Just

ERID-28

"Does Affirmative Action Lead to Mismatch? A New Test and Evidence"

Peter Arcidiacono
Esteban M. Aucejo
Hanming Fang
Kenneth I. Spenner

ERID-27

"Dynamic Inefficiencies in an Employment-Based Health Insurance System: Theory and Evidence"

Hanming Fang
Alessandro Gavazza

ERID-26

"Cointegrated TFP Processes and International Business Cycles"

Pau Rabana
Juan Rubio-Ramirez
Vincente Tuesta

ERID-25

"The Impact of Piped Water Provision on Infant Mortality in Brazil: A Quantile Panel Data Approach"

Shanti Gamper-Rabindran
Shakeeb Khan
Christopher Timmins

ERID-24

"John Maynard Keynes of Bloomsbury: Four Short Talks"

Craufurd Goodwin
Kevin D. Hoover
E. Roy Weintraub
Bruce Caldwell

ERID-23

"Agglomeration Effects in Foreign Direct Investment and the Pollution Haven Hypothesis"

Christopher Timmins
Ulrich J. Wagner

ERID-22

"Tilting at Imaginary Windmills: A Comment on Tyfield"

E. Roy Weintraub
Yann B. Giraud

ERID-21

"Expanding 'Choice' in School Choice"

Atila Abdulkadiroglu
Yeon-Koo Che
Yosuke Yasuda

ERID-20

"Empirical Identification of the Vector Autoregression: The Causes and Effects of U.S. M2"

Kevin D. Hoover
Selva Demiralp
Stephen J. Perez

ERID-19

"Agricultural Extension and Imperfect Supervision in Contract Farming: Evidence from Madagascar"

Marc F. Bellemare

ERID-18

"Factor-Eliminating Technical Change"

Pietro F. Peretto
John J. Seater

ERID-17

"The Employment (and Output) of Nations: Theory and Policy Implications"

Pietro F. Peretto

ERID-16

"A Schumpeterian Analysis of Deficit-Financed Dividend Tax Cuts"

Pietro F. Peretto

ERID-15

"Is the 'Curse of Natural Resources' Really a Curse?"

Pietro F. Peretto

ERID-14

"Distribution of Surplus in Sequential Bargaining with Endogenous Recognition"

Huseyin Yildirim

ERID-13

"Has Models' Forecasting Performance for U.S. Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?"

Barbara Rossi
Tatevik Sekhposyan

ERID-12

"Explaining the Economic Trajectories of Civilizations: The Systemic Approach"

Timur Kuran

ERID-11

"The Scale of Entrepreneurship in Middle Eastern History: Inhibitive Roles of Islamic Institutions"

Timur Kuran

ERID-10

"Quality, Upgrades, and (the Loss of) Market Power in a Dynamic Monopoly Model"

James J. Anton
Gary Biglaiser

ERID-9

"Ranking Mutual Fund Families: Minimum Expenses and Maximum Loads as Markers for Moral Turpitude"

Edward Tower
Wei Zheng

ERID-8

"Realized Jumps on Financial Markets and Predicting Credit Spreads"

George Tauchen
Hao Zhou

ERID-7

"A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects"

Tim Bollerslev
Uta Kretschmer
Christian Pigorsch
George Tauchen

ERID-6

"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia"

Tim Bollerslev
George Tauchen
Hao Zhou

ERID-5

"Pricing Implications of Stochastic Volatility, Business Cycle Time Change, and Non-Gaussianity"

Ivan Shaliastovich
George Tauchen

ERID-4

"Volatility Jumps"

George Tauchen
Viktor Todorov

ERID-3

"Activity Signature Functions for High-Frequency Data Analysis"

George Tauchen
Viktor Todorov

ERID-2

"Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?

Yu-chin Chen
Kenneth Rogoff
Barbara Rossi

ERID-1

 

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