Andrew J. Patton
Zelter Family Professor of Economics
Professor Patton’s research areas include econometrics, financial economics and forecasting. His work focuses on improved models for risk and dependence between financial assets, methods for forecast evaluation and comparison, and empirical asset pricing. Patton's recent publications include "Simulated Method of Moments Estimation for Copula-Based Multivariate Models" (2013, Journal of the American Statistical Association, joint with Dong Hwan Oh), "On the High Frequency Dynamics of Hedge Fund Risk Exposures" (2013, Journal of Finance, joint with Tarun Ramadorai) and "Copula Methods for Forecasting Multivariate Time Series" (2012, Handbook of Economic Forecasting). His research has been supported by the Leverhulme Trust, the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (UK) and Inquire UK. A complete list of his current and past research is available at: http://econ.duke.edu/~ap172/research.html
- Ph.D., University of California at San Diego 2002
- M.A., University of California at San Diego 2000
Bollerslev, T, Patton, AJ, and Quaedvlieg, R. Exploiting the errors: A simple approach for improved volatility forecasting. May 2016. Full Text
Bollerslev, T, Patton, AJ, and Quaedvlieg, R. Modeling and Forecasting (Un)Reliable Realized Covariances for More Reliable Financial Decisions. April 5, 2016.
Oh, DH, and Patton, AJ. "Modeling Dependence in High Dimensions With Factor Copulas." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 35, no. 1 (January 2, 2017): 139-154. Full Text
Oh, DH, and Patton, AJ. "High-dimensional copula-based distributions with mixed frequency data." Journal of Econometrics 193, no. 2 (August 2016): 349-366. Full Text
Patton, AJ, and Smith, RJ. "Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2014 Special Issue on Large Dimensional Models." The Econometrics Journal 19, no. 1 (February 2016): Ci-Cii. Full Text
Liu, LY, Patton, AJ, and Sheppard, K. "Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes." Journal of Econometrics 187, no. 1 (July 2015): 293-311. Full Text
Patton, AJ, and Sheppard, K. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility." Review of Economics and Statistics 97, no. 3 (July 2015): 683-697. Full Text
PATTON, ANDREWJ, RAMADORAI, TARUN, and STREATFIELD, MICHAEL. "Change You Can Believe In? Hedge Fund Data Revisions." The Journal of Finance 70, no. 3 (June 2015): 963-999. Full Text
Kruttli, MS, Patton, AJ, and Ramadorai, T. "The Impact of Hedge Funds on Asset Markets." (September 2014).
Patton, AJ, Ramadorai, T, and Streatfield, M. "Change You Can Believe in? Hedge Fund Data Revisions." (March 2012).