V. Joseph Joseph Hotz

V. Joseph Joseph Hotz

Arts and Sciences Professor of Economics

External Address: 
243 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
(919) 660-1841

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.


  • Ph.D., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1980
  • M.S., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1977
  • B.A., University of Notre Dame 1972

Hotz, VJ, and Scholz, J. "Measuring Employment and Income Outcomes for Low-Income Populations with Administrative and Survey Data." Studies of Welfare Populations: Data Collection and Research Issues (2002): 275-315. (Journal issue)

Hotz, VJ, Mullin, CH, and Scholz, JK. "Welfare, Employment, and Income: Evidence on the Effects of Benefit Reductions from California." American Economic Review 92, no. 2 (2002): 380-384. Full Text

Hotz, VJ, Xu, LC, Tienda, M, and Ahituv, A. "Are there returns to the wages of young men from working while in school?." Review of Economics and Statistics 84, no. 2 (2002): 221-236. Full Text Open Access Copy

Hotz, VJ, and Adams, J. ""The Statistical Power of National Data to Evaluate Welfare Reform"." Evaluating Welfare Reform in an Era of Transition (2001): 209-219. (Journal issue)

Scholz, JK. "Not Perfect, but Still Pretty Good: The EITC and Other Policies to Support the U.S. Low-Wage Labour Market." OECD Economic Studies 2000/II, no. 31 (2000): 25-42. (Academic Article) Open Access Copy

Hill, CJ, and Scholz, JK. "Evaluating Work-Related Cash Benefit Programs: The Earned Income Tax Credit." New Directions in Program Evaluation 79 (October 1998): 25-42. (Academic Article)

Hotz, VJ, Mullin, CH, and Sanders, SG. "Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analysing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing." The Review of Economic Studies 64, no. 4 (October 1, 1997): 575-603. Full Text

Ahituv, A, and Philipson, T. "The Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Local Prevalence of AIDS." Journal of Human Resources 21, no. 4 (October 1996): 869-897. (Academic Article)

Joseph Hotz, V. "Initial Labor Market Experiences of Minority and Nonminority Men." Proceedings of the Industrial Relations Research Association (1995): 256-265. (Academic Article)