Kevin Douglas Hoover
Professor of Economics
Professor Hoover's research interests include macroeconomics, monetary economics, the history of economics, and the philosophy and methodology of empirical economics. His recent work in economics has focused on the application of causal search methodologies for structural vector autoregression, the history of microfoundational programs in macroeconomics, and Roy Harrod's early work on dynamic macroeconomics. In philosophy, he has concentrated on issues related to causality, especially in economics, and on reductionism -- the philosophical counterpart to microfoundations. Recent publications include:
- "Trygve Haavelmo's Experimental Methodology and Scenario Analysis in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression" (Econometric Theory, 2015),
- "Reductionism in Economics: Intentionality and Eschatological Justification in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics" (Philosophy of Science 2015),
- "Mathematical Economics Comes to America: Charles S. Peirce’s Engagement with Cournot’s Recherches sur les Principes Mathematiques de la Théorie des Richesses" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2015),
- "The Genesis of Samuelson and Solow’s Price-Inflation Phillips Curve" (History of Economics Review, 2015),
- "Solow's Harrod: Transforming Cyclical Dynamics into a Model of Long-run Growth" (European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 2015),
- "In the Kingdom of Solovia: The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970" (History of Political Economy 2014),
- “Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression” (Empirical Economics, 2014),
- "On the Reception of Haavelmo's Econometric Thought" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2014) – winner of the History of Economics Society Best Paper Award in 2015.
- Ph.D., University of Oxford (UK) 1985
- M.A., University of Oxford (UK) 1983
- B.A., University of Oxford (UK) 1979
Hoover, K., and K. Juselius. “TRYGVE HAAVELMO'S EXPERIMENTAL METHODOLOGY and SCENARIO ANALYSIS in A COINTEGRATED VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION.” Econometric Theory 31, no. 2 (June 27, 2015): 249–74. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466614000292. Full Text
Hoover, K. D. “Reductionism in economics: Intentionality and eschatological justification in the microfoundations of macroeconomics.” Philosophy of Science 82, no. 4 (January 1, 2015): 689–711. https://doi.org/10.1086/682917. Full Text
Demiralp, S., K. D. Hoover, and S. J. Perez. “Still puzzling: Evaluating the price puzzle in an empirically identified structural vector autoregression.” Empirical Economics 46, no. 2 (March 1, 2014): 701–31. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-013-0694-5. Full Text
Hoover, K. D. “On the reception of haavelmo's econometric thought.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 36, no. 1 (January 1, 2014): 45–65. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1053837214000029. Full Text
Boianovsky, M., and K. D. Hoover. “In the Kingdom of Solovia: The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970.” History of Political Economy 46, no. Supplement 1 (January 1, 2014): 198–228. https://doi.org/10.1215/00182702-2716172. Full Text Open Access Copy
Hoover, K. D., and J. P. Stevens. “The 'slave bonus'.” New York Review of Books 60, no. 16 (October 24, 2013).
Hoover, K. D. “John Paul Stevens replies.” New York Review of Books 60, no. 16 (October 24, 2013).
Lovell, Michael, Robert Lucas, Dale Mortensen, Robert Shiller, Neil Wallace, Kevin D. Hoover, and Warren Young. “RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT A Panel Discussion with Michael Lovell, Robert Lucas, Dale Mortensen, Robert Shiller, and Neil Wallace.” Macroeconomic Dynamics 17, no. 5 (July 1, 2013): 1169–92. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100511000812. Full Text
Hoover, K. D. “Economic Theory and Causal Inference,” December 1, 2012, 89–113. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-51676-3.50004-X. Full Text
Keynote Lecture Tilburg-Madrid Conference, Statistics and Scientific Method I: The Controversy about Hypothesis Testing: “The Role of Hypothesis Testing in the Molding of Econometric Models". December 16, 2011