Kevin Douglas Hoover

Kevin Douglas Hoover

Professor of Economics

External Address: 
07B Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
(919) 660-1800

Professor Hoover's research interests include macroeconomics, monetary economics, the history of economics, and the philosophy and methodology of empirical economics. His recent work in economics has focused on the application of causal search methodologies for structural vector autoregression, the history of microfoundational programs in macroeconomics, and Roy Harrod's early work on dynamic macroeconomics. In philosophy, he has concentrated on issues related to causality, especially in economics, and on reductionism -- the philosophical counterpart to microfoundations. Recent publications include:

  • "Trygve Haavelmo's Experimental Methodology and Scenario Analysis in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression" (Econometric Theory, 2015), 
  • "Reductionism in Economics:  Intentionality and Eschatological Justification in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics" (Philosophy of Science 2015), 
  • "Mathematical Economics Comes to America:  Charles S. Peirce’s Engagement with Cournot’s Recherches sur les Principes Mathematiques de la Théorie des Richesses" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2015), 
  • "The Genesis of Samuelson and Solow’s Price-Inflation Phillips Curve" (History of Economics Review, 2015), 
  • "Solow's Harrod: Transforming Cyclical Dynamics into a Model of Long-run Growth" (European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 2015), 
  • "In the Kingdom of Solovia:  The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970" (History of Political Economy 2014), 
  • “Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression” (Empirical Economics, 2014),
  • "On the Reception of Haavelmo's Econometric Thought" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2014) – winner of the History of Economics Society Best Paper Award in 2015.  


  • Ph.D., University of Oxford (United Kingdom) 1985
  • M.A., University of Oxford (United Kingdom) 1983
  • B.A., University of Oxford (United Kingdom) 1979

Hoover, K. D., and W. Young. “Rational expectations: Retrospect and prospect.” Macroeconomic Dynamics 17, no. 5 (July 1, 2013): 1169–92. Full Text

Hoover, Kevin D. “Causal structure and hierarchies of models.Studies in History and Philosophy of Biological and Biomedical Sciences 43, no. 4 (December 2012): 778–86. Full Text

Hoover, K. D., and K. Juselius. “Experiments, Passive Observation and Scenario Analysis: Trygve Haavelmo and the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression.” Univ. of Copenhagen Dept. of Economics Discussion Paper, no. 12 (November 5, 2012). Open Access Copy

Hoover, K. D. “The Role of Hypothesis Testing in the Molding of Econometric Models.” Chope Working Paper, no. 2012 (January 18, 2012). Open Access Copy

Duarte, P. G., and K. D. Hoover. “Observing Shocks.” History of Political Economy 44, no. Supplement 1 (January 1, 2012): 226–49. Full Text

Hoover, K. D. “Craufurd goodwin and history of political economy: A double anniversary.” History of Political Economy 43, no. 2 (June 1, 2011): 247–55. Full Text

Hoover, K. D. “Introduction: Methodological implications of the financial crisis.” Journal of Economic Methodology 17, no. 4 (December 1, 2010): 397–98. Full Text