V. Joseph Hotz

V. Joseph Hotz

Arts and Sciences Professor of Economics

External Address: 
243 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
(919) 660-1841

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.


  • Ph.D., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1980
  • M.S., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1977
  • B.A., University of Notre Dame 1972

Wiemers, EE, Seltzer, JA, Schoeni, RF, Hotz, VJ, and Bianchi, SM. "Stepfamily Structure and Transfers Between Generations in U.S. Families." Demography 56, no. 1 (February 2019): 229-260. Full Text

Hotz, VJ, Wiemers, E, Rasmussen, J, and Maxwell, K. "The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and its Consequences." (October 2018).

Ashworth, J, Hotz, VJ, Maurel, A, and Ransom, T. "Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences." (May 27, 2018).

Hotz, VJ, Johansson, P, and Karimi, A. "Parenthood, Family Friendly Firms, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers." (December 2017).

Ashworth, J, Hotz, VJ, Maurel, A, and Ransom, T. "Changes Across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences." (December 2017).

Aucejo, EM, Bugni, FA, and Hotz, VJ. "Identification and inference on regressions with missing covariate data." Econometric Theory 33, no. 1 (February 1, 2017): 196-241. Full Text Open Access Copy

Aucejo, EM, Bugni, FA, and Hotz, VJ. "IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE ON REGRESSIONS WITH MISSING COVARIATE DATA." Econometric Theory 33, no. 01 (February 2017): 196-241.

Wiemers, EE, Slanchev, V, McGarry, K, and Hotz, VJ. "Living Arrangements of Mothers and Their Adult Children Over the Life Course." Research on aging 39, no. 1 (January 2017): 111-134. Full Text

Arcidiacono, P, Aucejo, EM, and Hotz, VJ. "University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California." American Economic Review 106, no. 3 (March 2016).

Schoeni, RF, Bianchi, SM, Hotz, VJ, Seltzer, JA, and Wiemers, EE. "Intergenerational transfers and rosters of the extended family: a new substudy of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics." Longitudinal and Life Course Studies 6, no. 3 (January 2015): 319-330. Full Text


Hotz, VJ, Bianchi, S, McGarry, K, and Seltzer, S. "Intergenerational Ties: Alternative Theories, Empirical Findings and Trends, and Remaining Challenges." In Intergenerational Caregiving,edited by S Bianchi, J Seltzer, A Booth, and N Crouter. Urban Institute Press, 2008. (Chapter)

Hotz, VJ, and Scholz, JK. "The earned income tax credit." 141-197. 2003. Open Access Copy

Hotz, VJ, Klerman, JA, and Willis, RJ. "Chapter 7 The economics of fertility in developed countries.", 275-347. 1997. Full Text

Hotz, VJ, and Heckman, J. ""Are Classical Experiments Necessary for Evaluating the Impact of Manpower Training Programs? A Critical Assessment"." In Industrial Relations Research Association Proceedings, 291-302.. (Chapter)

Tienda, M, Ahituv, A, Frost, MB, and Hotz, VJ. "Employment and Wage Prospects of Black, White, and Hispanic Women." Edited by CJ Whalen. (2010): 129-160.

Selected Grants

Add Health Parent Study: Phase I awarded by National Institutes of Health (Principal Investigator). 2013 to 2019

Panel Study of Income Dynamics awarded by University of Michigan (Principal Investigator). 2012 to 2018

NCRN-MN:Triangle Census Research Network awarded by National Science Foundation (Co Investigator). 2011 to 2016

Preferences and Economic Decision-Making awarded by National Institutes of Health (Investigator). 2005 to 2012