V. Joseph Hotz

V. Joseph Hotz

Arts and Sciences Professor of Economics

External Address: 
243 Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
Internal Office Address: 
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
(919) 660-1841

Professor Hotz specializes in the subjects of applied econometrics, labor economics, economic demography, and economics of the family. His studies have investigated the impacts of social programs, such as welfare-to-work training; the relationship between childbearing patterns and labor force participation of U.S. women; the effects of teenage pregnancy; the child care market; the Earned Income Tax Credit; and other such subjects. He began conducting his studies in 1977, and has since published his work extensively in books and leading academic journals. Many of his projects have been funded by grants awarded by the National Institute of Health and the National Science Foundation. He is currently completing a project with Duncan Thomas on, “Preference and Economic Decision-Making” under a grant from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. His recent works also include, “Tax Policy and Low-Wage Labor Markets: New Work on Employment, Effectiveness and Administration” with John Karl Scholz and Charles Mullin; and “Designing New Models to Explain Family Change and Variation” with S. Philip Morgan. Along with his duties as an independent researcher, Professor Hotz has also held positions as a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the National Poverty Center, the Institute for the Study of Labor, and the Institute for Research on Poverty. He is presently a member of the Committee on National Statistics for the National Academy of Sciences’ Research Council.


  • Ph.D., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1980
  • M.S., University of Wisconsin at Madison 1977
  • B.A., University of Notre Dame 1972

Crump, RK, Hotz, VJ, Imbens, GW, and Mitnik, OA. "Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects." Biometrika 96, no. 1 (January 24, 2009): 187-199. Full Text

Hao, L, Hotz, VJ, and Jin, GZ. "Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers." Economic Journal (London, England) 118, no. 528 (April 2008): 515-555. Full Text

Crump, RK, Hotz, VJ, Imbens, GW, and Mitnik, OA. "Nonparametric tests for treatment effect heterogeneity." Review of Economics and Statistics 90, no. 3 (2008): 389-405. Full Text Open Access Copy

Hotz, VJ, and Scholz, JK. "Can administrative data on child support be used to improve the EITC? Evidence from Wisconsin." National Tax Journal 61, no. 2 (2008): 189-203.

Bacolod, M, and Joseph Hotz, V. "Cohort changes in the transition from school to work: Evidence from three NLS surveys." Economics of Education Review 25, no. 4 (August 2006): 351-373. Full Text

Seltzer, JA, Bachrach, CA, Bianchi, SM, Bledsoe, CH, Casper, LM, Chase-Lansdale, PL, Diprete, TA, Hotz, VJ, Morgan, SP, Sanders, SG, and Thomas, D. "Explaining Family Change and Variation: Challenges for Family Demographers." Journal of Marriage and the Family 67, no. 4 (November 2005): 908-925. Full Text

Hotz, VJ, McElroy, SW, and Sanders, SG. "Teenage childbearing and its life cycle consequences: Exploiting a natural experiment." Journal of Human Resources 40, no. 3 (June 1, 2005): 683-715.

Joseph Hotz, V, Imbens, GW, and Mortimer, JH. "Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations." Journal of Econometrics 125, no. 1-2 (March 2005): 241-270. Full Text

Currie, J, and Joseph Hotz, V. "Inequality in life and death: What drives racial trends in U.S. child death rates?." (December 1, 2004): 569-632. (Chapter)